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ECB sources: Some people think that the ECB overestimates economic growth. In the case of Trump's tariff increase, the economic growth next year may be less than 1%.French Ambassador to Ukraine: The first batch of Mirage 2000-5 fighters will be provided to Ukraine early next year. On December 12, local time, French Ambassador to Ukraine Visier said that in early 2025, France will provide Ukraine with the first batch of Mirage 2000-5 fighters as planned, and Ukrainian pilots and technicians are currently receiving training. He did not disclose the number of fighters to be delivered. Earlier, according to a report by Ukrainian Pravda on October 8, French Defense Minister Sebastian Lecornu said that France planned to deliver Mirage fighters to Ukraine early next year.Sources: A few ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates by 50 basis points. Three sources said that several ECB policymakers initially hoped to cut interest rates more sharply on Thursday, and they were worried that the new US tariffs would hinder economic growth. The European Central Bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points on Thursday, and opened the door for more easing policies, as the euro zone economy was dragged down by domestic political instability and the threat of a new round of trade war in the United States. However, due to the low forecast of inflation and economic growth, about five of the 26 members of the official Committee initially advocated a 50 basis point interest rate cut. In particular, they pointed out that if the incoming Trump administration imposes new tariffs on the EU, the growth of economic output next year may be lower than the 1.1% expected by the European Central Bank. A small number of policy makers who called for greater interest rate cuts quickly gave in, adding that given the current uncertainty, people are reluctant to make a hasty decision.

Chang Yang, chief analyst of the policy team of Zhongtai Securities Research Institute: The Central Economic Work Conference further released the signal of supporting the development of the private economy. The Central Economic Work Conference proposed to give play to the traction role of economic system reform and promote the implementation of landmark reform measures. High-quality completion of the deepening and upgrading of state-owned enterprise reform, the introduction of private economy promotion law. Carry out special actions to standardize law enforcement involving enterprises. Formulate guidelines for the construction of a unified national market. Strengthen supervision and promote the healthy development of platform economy. Make overall plans to promote the reform of the fiscal and taxation system and increase local independent financial resources. Deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, open up the blocking points of medium and long-term funds entering the market, and enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market system. Chang Yang, chief analyst of the policy team of Zhongtai Securities Research Institute, told reporters that the meeting put forward a very targeted statement on the private economy. Among them, expressions such as "Promulgating the Private Economy Promotion Law" and "Launching Special Actions to Standardize Law Enforcement of Enterprises" have further released the signal of supporting the development of the private economy, which is expected to create a more favorable policy environment for the development of the private economy. (SSE)Industry ETFs U.S. stocks generally fell in early trading, with regional bank ETFs currently down 1.07%, semiconductor ETFs down 0.98%, banking ETFs down 0.8%, technology ETFs down 0.37%, and Internet stock index ETFs up 0.28%.Su Jian, Director of Peking University National Economic Research Center: Promote the construction of a unified national market and realize the free flow of factors and commodities throughout the country. The Central Economic Work Conference put forward that giving play to the traction role of economic system reform and promoting the landmark reform measures will be effective. High-quality completion of the deepening and upgrading of state-owned enterprise reform, the introduction of private economy promotion law. Carry out special actions to standardize law enforcement involving enterprises. Formulate guidelines for the construction of a unified national market. Strengthen supervision and promote the healthy development of platform economy. Make overall plans to promote the reform of the fiscal and taxation system and increase local independent financial resources. Deepen the comprehensive reform of investment and financing in the capital market, open up the blocking points of medium and long-term funds entering the market, and enhance the inclusiveness and adaptability of the capital market system. Su Jian, director of Peking University National Economic Research Center, told reporters that the "guidelines for the construction of a unified national market" is to promote the construction of a unified national market and realize the free flow of factors and commodities throughout the country. Its reform covers a wide range and has profound implications. In terms of factors, the flow of capital, labor, land, information and science and technology needs to further break down local protection and industry barriers. "It is expected to involve land system reform, investment and financing system reform, household registration management system reform, etc." (SSE)

Fitch Global Shipping predicts that the performance of each sub-industry will grow steadily, but it will be partially offset by the downward trajectory of container shipping in 2025.There is great potential for financing support and resource guidance to jointly drive the capital market to help green transformation. The the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee meeting held on December 9 pointed out that it is necessary to jointly promote carbon reduction, pollution reduction and green growth, and accelerate the comprehensive green transformation of economic and social development. In fact, whether it is technological innovation or industrial linkage, it is a process of multi-factor synergy, in which capital plays a particularly key role. In recent years, the capital market has continuously improved its "green content", helping the green transformation of the real economy to run out of "acceleration". On the one hand, it strongly supports the financing and refinancing of green enterprises with the help of multi-level capital market system and diversified product system, and promotes the vigorous development and transformation of the whole green industry field with the development and growth of individual enterprises; On the other hand, it actively guides the rational allocation of funds to green enterprises and promotes the large-scale development of green industries by improving the compilation and release of green indexes and formulating the evaluation standards and index framework of green investment. Song Xiangqing, vice president of China Business Economics Association, said that in the future, with the deepening of green transformation, the capital market will show the development trends of product diversification, service specialization, standardization of standards and further deepening of international cooperation in the development of green industries. (Securities Daily)The mortgage interest rate in the United States fell for the third consecutive week, and the demand for home purchases rose. The mortgage interest rate in the United States fell for the third consecutive week. Freddie Mac said in a statement that the average interest rate of 30-year fixed-rate mortgages was 6.6%, down from 6.69% last week. Redfin Corp' s data for the four weeks ending December 8 show that buyers have been pushing forward in recent weeks, and the purchase contract has increased by 4.1% year-on-year. However, the broker said that affordability still faces challenges, because interest rates are still at a high level and the median selling price has increased by 6% year-on-year. "Demand is adapting to the new normal after the election," said Chen Zhao, head of economic research at Redfin.